Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.263725 0.289440 0.315672 0.344382 0.374869 0.406225 0.440861
2024-12-15 0.237953 0.274924 0.313941 0.358010 0.406229 0.457216 0.515036
2024-12-22 0.213609 0.258331 0.306951 0.363365 0.426650 0.495095 0.574355
2024-12-29 0.197300 0.248492 0.305616 0.373445 0.451146 0.536761 0.637600
2025-01-05 0.180016 0.235729 0.299453 0.376758 0.467025 0.568158 0.689078
2025-01-12 0.164448 0.223516 0.292676 0.378261 0.479953 0.595611 0.735751
2025-01-19 0.149641 0.210960 0.284401 0.377021 0.488888 0.617895 0.776128
2025-01-26 0.138807 0.202418 0.280202 0.379987 0.502270 0.645017 0.821963
2025-02-02 0.132300 0.198795 0.281601 0.389405 0.523163 0.680917 0.878205
2025-02-09 0.122934 0.190759 0.276873 0.390729 0.533821 0.704371 0.919590
2025-02-16 0.116422 0.186026 0.275960 0.396513 0.549742 0.734062 0.968476
2025-02-23 0.112411 0.184371 0.278795 0.406898 0.571319 0.770665 1.025875
2025-03-02 0.104461 0.177001 0.274022 0.407589 0.581055 0.793359 1.067310
2025-03-09 0.097802 0.171025 0.270768 0.409996 0.592818 0.818536 1.111917
2025-03-16 0.090390 0.163468 0.264955 0.408677 0.599551 0.837325 1.148658
2025-03-23 0.086323 0.160577 0.265367 0.415531 0.616807 0.869348 1.201969
2025-03-30 0.080785 0.155092 0.261840 0.416803 0.626599 0.891876 1.243485
2025-04-06 0.075389 0.149462 0.257804 0.417125 0.634960 0.912497 1.282623
2025-04-13 0.069722 0.143017 0.252264 0.415075 0.639944 0.928663 1.316100
2025-04-20 0.065810 0.139146 0.250280 0.417840 0.651290 0.953010 1.360039
2025-04-27 0.064038 0.138688 0.253300 0.427669 0.672244 0.989948 1.420271
2025-05-04 0.060191 0.134477 0.250459 0.428952 0.681443 1.011521 1.460865
2025-05-11 0.057775 0.132566 0.251007 0.435050 0.697239 1.041801 1.512818